Source: http://www.tourismofindia.com
National Tourism Policy 2002
Ministry of Tourism & Culture
Department of Tourism
Government of India

                                                                   PREFACE

A national policy on tourism highlighting the importance of the sector and the objectives of tourism development in the country was presented in the Parliament in 1982. The policy was formulated in an environment of a closed economy with rigid licensing procedures. The policy did not emphasize the role of private sector, and foreign investment was not envisaged. The policy also did not lay adequate emphasis on domestic tourism and the need for product development. In the Chief Minister’s Conference held on October 30, 2001, the Prime Minister of India Shri Atal Bihari Vajpayee had stated:-. 

"Tourism is a major engine of economic growth in most parts of the world. Several countries have transformed their economies using the tourism potential the fullest… Tourism has great capacity to create large scale employment of diverse kind – from the most specialised to the unskilled and all of us know that generation of massive productive employment opportunities is what India needs the most". The Ministry of Tourism had prepared a draft National Tourism Development Policy with the objective of positioning tourism as a major engine of economic growth and to harness its direct and multiplier effects for employment and poverty eradication in an environmentally sustainable manner. This draft was circulated to all the stakeholders in the Tourism sector, the Private sector, the industry Associations, the State Governments, Departments and Ministries of Government of India. The draft on National Tourism Policy-2002 was also discussed at the three day Tourism Conclave comprising of:-
  1. Meeting of all foreign and domestic officers of Tourism Ministry.
  2. Meeting of State Tourism secretaries and
  3. Meeting of the State Chief Ministers and Tourism Ministers.
  The Policy rests upon the following basic principles:
  1. Account should be taken of the fact that for the last four decades or so, a tourism revolution has been sweeping the world. In 1964, the number of tourists leaving their homes, worldwide, was 100 million. This number increased to 200 million in 1974, 500 million in 1992 and 700 million in 2001. And this number is likely to swell to 1.5 billion by 2020 and receipts from it are estimated to cross $2000 billion.

  2. If India has to partake in this revolution in a meaningful way, it must change its strategies as well as the techniques and tools of its machinery of implementation. In this connection, it has to be noted with concern that during the last decade or so, India’s share of world tourist traffic has remained static at 0.38 per cent.
     
  3. At the institutional level, a framework would have to be evolved which is Government-led, private-sector driven and community-welfare oriented. Government have to provide a legislative framework to regulate tourism trade and industry, ensure safety and security of the tourists and create basic infrastructure and health-care facilities. The private sector has to act as a main spring of the activities and impart dynamism and speed to the process of development as well as conservation. Both Government and the private sector would be required to safeguard the stability and also the social and economic advancement of the local communities and the communities in the neighbourhood.
  4. The deep-rooted relationship of tourism and our cultural assets should be fully recognised and provided for. Improvements and environmental upgradation of the protected monuments and the areas around them should be considered as a linchpin of the tourism industry.
  5. Effective linkages and close coordination should be established with such Departments as Civil Aviation, Environment, Forest, Railways, Home, etc.
  6. Sustainability should serve as a guiding star for the new Policy. The development and management strategies should be so worked out as to ensure that tourism largely acts as a smokeless industry and its ecological footprints remain as soft as possible. No one engaged, directly or indirectly, in the tourism industry, should be allowed to secure short-term gains by resorting to what has been called the darker side of tourism. Neither over-exploitation of natural resources should be permitted nor the carrying capacity of the tourist-sites ignored.
  7. Greater emphasis should be laid on eco-tourism whose parameters should be broader than those of nature tourism alone. It must help in eliminating poverty, in ending unemployment, in creating new skills, in enhancing the status of woman, in preserving cultural heritage, in encouraging tribal and local crafts and in improving overall environment and facilitating growth of a more just and fair social order.
  8. Special thrust should be imparted to rural tourism and tourism in small settlements, where sizeable assets of our cultural and natural wealth exist.
  9. Due importance should be given to domestic tourism, particularly tourism connected with pilgrimage, and it should be so designed that the infrastructure created under it serves as a backbone of international tourism in times to come.
  10. A new class of young tourists, with marked preference for adventure and distant destinations, in hills, caves and forests, is emerging. This class is not looking for 5-star accommodation but only for simple and clean places to stay. The requirements of this class of tourists should be met and guest tourism encouraged through Panchayats and local bodies and associations.
  11. Special attraction of tourist for the Yoga, Siddha, etc., as well as for the Indian cuisine should be made use of and effectively encouraged.
  12. The tourist industry and travel agents should be persuaded to evolve and adopt voluntarily a Code of Ethics and its infringement should be firmly dealt with by Tour and Travel Associations.
  13. A section of the State police should be earmarked to act as tourist police and special training should be imparted to it.
  14. At the international level, India should play a dynamic role and make its presence felt at the World Tourism Organisation, World Tourism and Travel Council and Earth Council. Its unique cultural values and spiritual heritage should be projected with dignity and elevation befitting a great nation, whenever suitable opportunity comes our way.
  15. The civilisational issues as well as issues pertaining to civic administration and good governance must be attended to and made an effective part of the tourism policy. It should be ensured that good policies are not shipwrecked in the sea of half hearted implementation.
         Introduction
The policy document seeks to enhance employment potential within the tourism sector as well as to foster economic integration through developing linkages with other sectors. Broadly the policy paper attempts to: - The policy document takes into consideration seven key areas that will provide the thrust to tourism development. These are: Swagat (Welcome), Soochana (Information), Suvidha (Facilitation), Suraksha (Safety), Sahyog (Cooperation), Samrachana (Infrastructure Development), and Safai (Cleanliness).
  1. Tourism and National Development in India – Current Situation and Prospects
In its modern form since the end of the Second World War, tourism has grown into one of the world’s largest industries with a growth rate in excess of 5 percent per annum over the past twenty years. International tourism flows across frontiers in the year 2000 reached 698 million while receipts from these flows reached US$ 595 billion (including receipts from international transport fares). Estimates prepared by the World Tourism Organization indicate that global domestic tourism flows are at least ten times greater than international tourism flows indicating that there were at least 6,980 million domestic arrivals in 2000. Globally, tourism accounts for 11% of the global GDP and 8% of the world trade employment

(Table A – Annexure I-A). In most countries with a large population, domestic tourism is the foundation of a viable and sustainable tourism industry. Much of the growth of global tourism has been generated by domestic tourism, which tends to be more focused on rural destinations. With a growing interest in the intangible culture of different countries (i.e. lifestyles, cuisine, ceremonies, music, religious beliefs, traditions, customs, and history), there is a strong potential to encourage international tourism to the rural areas as well. India’s share of global international tourism at 2.64 million foreign arrivals through its borders in the year 2000 is relatively small in volume (about 0.38 percent) but almost twice as high in terms of US$ receipts (about 0.69 percent)

(Table B – Annexure I-A). On the other hand, India’s share of global domestic tourism is much higher (around 4.6 percent of estimated global domestic tourism). While the proportion of global US$ receipts from international tourism increased from 0.57 percent in 1990 to 0.69 percent in 2000, this compares with a share of 1.37 percent in 1981. In contrast, India’s neighbours in South and South–East Asia have more effectively utilised tourism for economic growth and employment creation

(Table C – Annexure I-B) A forecasting study undertaken by the World Tourism and Travel Council estimated that in 2001, tourism would account for 10.7 percent of global Gross Domestic Product, 207.1 million jobs; US$ 1,063.8 billion in export value, and US$ 657.7 billion in capital investment. A study on the economic impact of tourism conducted by the World Tourism and Travel Council estimated that in 2001, the consumption activity arising from domestic and international tourism will contribute 5.3 percent of India’s Gross Domestic Product. Tourism will also sustain 25 million equivalent full time jobs or 6 percent of India’s workforce, and contribute more than US$ 3 billion in gross foreign exchange receipts. Separate estimates prepared by the Department of Tourism using a multiplier based on 1980 research suggests that the actual employment generation effect of (direct & indirect) tourism in India is around 42 million (includes full time/part time/casuals). The forecasting study undertaken by the World Tourism and Travel Council further indicates that between 2001 and 2011:

Forecast data from the World Tourism Organization shows that the share of tourism volumes and related receipts, Gross Domestic Product, employment, and export earnings is expected to move away from the developed countries towards the less developed countries as a result of favorable economic, motivational, technological, and policy factors      

Forecast Change in the Share of International Tourism Arrivals between Developed and Developing Regions
 
Regions 
2000 
Share % 
2010 
Share % 
%AAG 
Developed Regions of the World 
528 
78.45% 
730 
69.79% 
3.29% 
Less Developed Regions of the World 
145 
21.55% 
316 
30.21% 
8.10% 
Total 
673 
100.00% 
1046 
100.00% 
4.51% 
Source: WTO Forecasts 
 

WTTC’s status paper, "The India Imperative" has analysed India tourism in the light of the latest Tourism Satellite Accounting Research TSA (2001) and projections for the year 2011. Subject to addressing key policy issues highlighted in the paper, WTTC has identified India as one of the foremost growth centers in the world in the coming decade.

One of the sectors of the economy considered to have particular potential is tourism. Tourism is seen to be a priority sector because it is: There is great potential for creating enormous number of new jobs through travel and tourism. The employment potential is the highest in the tourism sector as compared to any other sector and India has the potential to more than triple its travel and tourism jobs. The tourism industry has a very strong linkage to socio-economic progress of the country. It has a very high revenue capital ratio. It is estimated that an investment of Rs.1 million creates 47 direct jobs and 11 indirect jobs, which far surpasses the employment potential from Agricultural and Industrial sector .

SWOT Analysis The tourism sector’s contribution to the national development priorities and strategies has so far been relatively limited. A review of the sector’s competitive strengths and weaknesses, opportunities, and threats indicates that it has considerable growth potential. The main results of the analysis are:

 
  • The main internal threats to the development of the tourism sector are failing to effectively resolve the constraints identified above. These are security, safety and health situation; failing to involve communities in the decision making process for tourism development; and failure to adopt and implement sustainable development and management principles and practices at tourism sites, especially in the rural and natural areas of the country. From an external point of view, the main threats are not effectively addressing the fierce and ever-increasing competition from competing countries, over-reliance on a few well worn international and domestic travel markets, unbridled growth of international tourism that is characterized by high volumes, low economic yields, and high levels of adverse socio-cultural, and environmental impacts, and further regional conflicts such as that resulting from the September 11 event of 2001.
  • India possesses a rich and diverse range of unique tangible and intangible cultural, natural, and man-made tourism resources, many of which are world class in quality, and most of which are located in rural areas. The tourism resources of the country have the potential to attract significantly higher levels of market demand from the domestic and international markets provided that sustainable site management practices and principles are adopted and applied, and the other constraints identified above are effectively resolved. Provided that the identified constraints and opportunities are addressed, and appropriate plans prepared to handle the internal and external threats, then it is considered that India Tourism focus should be to:
    1. substantially increase the proportion of the urban resident leisure and pilgrimage tourism to rural areas not just in terms of volume but also in terms of length of stay and expenditure. For example, the total urban resident leisure and pilgrimage domestic market is estimated to increase from 22.5 million in 2001 to 50.5 million by 2012 and it would be a key objective to encourage these to visit the rural areas through appropriate strategies; and
    2. substantially increase the volume of high-yielding (high average per capita expenditure) international tourists from the priority regional and long haul source markets based on the identified travel interests.
    3.0 Tourism Development Goals, Objectives, and Strategies The tourism industry, unlike many other industries is a composite of several service providers. These service providers are generally in the private sector. In, addition, public sector institutions such as the national or state departments of tourism are involved in the planning, development, and management of tourism. The participation of different private and public agencies makes tourism industry a complex phenomenon requiring a strong cooperation and coordination for it to be developed and expanded along lines that will contribute to the overall national development objectives. Left to itself, the industry will develop naturally, but not necessarily optimally or sustainable, and without any clear links to the broad development objectives of the country. Uncontrolled tourism growth could damage India’s socio-cultural structure, degrade its tangible and intangible cultural and natural heritage, and lead to adverse economic impacts such as high importation costs, and weakening inter-industry linkages.

    On the other hand, when the industry is properly planned, developed and managed at all levels of government in partnership with the private sector, it will strengthen India’s socio-cultural structure. It would valorize its tangible and intangible cultural and natural heritage, and lead to positive economic impacts including enhanced employment and income opportunities in rural areas, lower importation costs, and stronger inter-industry linkages. The vehicle for achieving the positive benefits of tourism, mitigating the negative effects, and delivering sustainable industry development framework of India’s national development priorities is the preparation and implementation of a comprehensive national tourism policy. The overall goal and strategy for the development of the tourism industry is to ensure that its development is closely tied to the national development priorities of the country. In this context the Government of India’s vision for the development of the tourism sector is:

    "Achieve a superior quality of life for India’s peoples
    through Tourism which would provide a unique opportunity for physical invigoration, mental rejuvenation, cultural enrichment and spiritual elevation".
    3.1 Key Objectives To achieve the overall vision for the development of tourism, five key strategic objectives need to be achieved. They are:
    1. Positioning and maintaining tourism development as a national priority activity;
    2. Enhancing and maintaining the competitiveness of India as a tourism destination.
    3. Improving India’s existing tourism products and expanding these to meet new market requirements;
    4. Creation of world class infrastructure
    5. Developing sustained and effective marketing plans and programs.
    3.2 Positioning Tourism as a National Priority
      1. Enhancing India’s Competitiveness as a Tourist Destination
    1. Visa on Arrival - Implement visa on arrival and consider strategies for the fast issuance of visas and permits including electronic visa approaches, and improved processing of arrivals by customs and immigration officials.
    2. Computerization of the system of issue of visas by Embassies / High Commission.
    3. Air capacity available to India is woefully short during peak travel months ranging from October to March and specially from main tourism originating destinations like North America, Western Europe and South East Asia. Additional seat capacity from the major destinations would provide a major impetus to tourism and economic development. An analysis by Indian Council for Research on International Economic Relations (ICRIER) reveals that the benefits of the additional seat capacity whether provided by the national carrier or any other international carrier would have a significant benefit for national economy.
    4. The model at Annexure –I-F strengthens the argument for opening India’s sky for enhancing tourism through increased capacity.
    5. Improve the standard of facilities and services at the nations international and major domestic airports by employing professional property management agencies to manage the physical premises on an outsource basis, and speeding up the privatization/leasing of airports.
    6. There is a need for creation of special tourism police force for deployment at major tourism destinations. This will provide travelers security through a sprit of courtesy and hospitality.
    3.4 Improving and Expanding Product Development
              In relation to the development of products that are related to the special interests of the target
              markets, the product development strategy should be to: The development of this recommended niche based special interest product mix will position India as a unique world-class destination.

    3.4.1 Creation World-Class Infrastructure India’s physical infrastructure is the very foundation on which tourism is to be built, and this ranges from ports of entry, to modes of transport to destinations, be they airways, roads, railways, or waterways, to urban infrastructure supporting tourism facilities such as access roads, power and electricity, water supply, sewage, and telecommunications amongst others. In this context, the strategic actions in relation to road, railways, waterways, and airport facilities are identified below.

    1. Development of Integrated Circuits
    Ministry of Tourism’s financing assistance to the states has not been able to create an impact in terms of creation of international standard tourism infrastructure. The emphasis therefore has to be on identifying up travel circuits and converging all resources and expertise for development of these circuits as International Standard destinations.

    (b) Roads The road network is particularly vital to tourism, for almost 70 percent of passenger travel in India is by roads. Many tourist circuits too, are entirely dependent on roads. The current government plan for the road system in the country, covering both inter-state highways and improvements to rural roads directly supports tourism development. There is an urgent need to construct and improve highways linking the World Heritage Sites and places of tourism significance. Ministry of Road Transport and National Highways will collaborate with Ministry of Tourism in this effort.

    (c) Railways The Indian Railway system can be an enormous asset in the development of the tourism and hospitality industry in the country. India has 7,000 railway stations and 11,000 trains. The railways have a special fascination for foreign tourists who wish to experience the country both at leisure and close personal contact with the indigenous people. The unqualified success of the "Palace on Wheels" substantiates the contention. For the vast majority of domestic tourists it is the railways, which is the main affordable means of travel linking the length and breadth of the vast and often enhancing sub-continent. Railway services are equipped not only to meet the travel needs of domestic and foreign tourists, but also have the infrastructure and land resource to contribute significantly to the growth of hotel accommodation in the country. The following measures are necessary:

    (d) Waterways

    India’s 7,000 kms coastline remains untapped for the promotion of cruises. There is immense potential for this activity in the East, South and West of India. Apart from Ocean-going Cruise Lines (a circuit being contemplated by potential Indian operators in Mumbai – Goa – Lakshadweep – Cochin – Colombo – Maldives), the potential for River cruises in India needed to be developed for the North-Eastern States, (Brahmaputra and Ganges) and Kerela. India is blessed with a vast coastline as well as several navigable rivers that have extreme tourism significance. To capitalize on this, the strategic actions are to:

    3.5 Strategies for Effective Marketing The competition for travelers from the source markets identified for India is fierce, and to effectively compete in these markets, India will have to shift its current traditional marketing approach to one that is more aggressive and competitive. In this context, India will have to use an array of marketing tools and strategies to: 3.5.1 Creating an India Tourism Brand Position In the international market, India requires a positioning statement that captures the essence of its tourism product to convey an "image" of the product to a potential consumer and which will become the India "brand". A good example of this positioning approach is Thailand’s "Amazing Thailand" brand, Malaysia’s "Malaysia, Truly Asia" brand, The Philippine’s "Festival Islands" brand, and Egypt’s "The Land of the Pharos" brand. These more or less powerful positioning statements serve to effectively differentiate each of these destination countries from their competitors, and provide an effective umbrella under which the whole marketing effort may be organized and implemented on a partnership basis. The India’s positioning statement and branding should focus on what makes India unique and unmatched in the tourism world. This is almost certainly related to its great competitive strength, i.e. its ancient Vedic civilization with a cultural heritage that continues to live in a largely unchanging and vibrant manner even today, especially in its rural areas. In the domestic market, where the focus of interest is rural or village tourism, a different positioning statement is required. This has to be related to the concept of "returning to or rediscovering ones roots" in order to escape the complexities and pressures of India’s cities for the calm green of the rural countryside and the simplicity of the traditional village. The development of a powerful positioning image and brand position for India in its international and domestic markets requires adequate research by a professional agency, and industry "buy in" if it is to be successful. This research is being undertaken.

    3.5.2 Market Research An extensive program of market research in India’s primary source markets is an essential first step to:

    The results of this market research will help to guide the formulation and implementation of the overall marketing strategy, the formulation and implementation of product development and promotion strategies, and the indicators that should be used to measure the success of the strategies.
        1. Digital Technology for Marketing
    The Internet is having a greater impact on the marketing of travel and tourism than any technology since the invention of television. It has already established itself as a crucial channel via which tourism organizations can promote their destinations and products offered by their service providers. The implications of the Internet and other growing interactive multi-media platforms are far reaching. India Tourism would be utilising both the Internet and the other emerging interactive technologies and capitalising on these new channels. The benefits to be gained include cost-effective global distribution and new opportunities for closer and eventually self-financing partnerships between public entities and private operators.

    4.0 Summary India’s tourism industry through the capacity of it’s tourism resource, facilities and services and as yet relatively untapped market potential has considerable scope for expansion and development. The Tourism Policy elucidated above aims at setting-up a framework that will allow the various stakeholders to fully develop the potential of tourism and to harness this to the national development priorities.

    Annexure – I-A   Travel and Tourism (T&T)
    - the world’s largest industry (Table A)
    Share of World 
    % of Total (2000) 
    GDP 
    11.0 
    Employment 
    8.0 
    Exports 
    7.9 
    Capital Investment 
    9.4 
    Source : Ministry of Tourism International/National Tourist Arrivals
     

    (Table B)
    Year 
    Tourist Arrivals (India) 
    Tourist Arrivals(World) in Millions 
    Percentage Share of India 
    1995 
    2,123,683 
    565.4 
    0.38 
    1997 
    2,374,094 
    618.2 
    0.38 
    1999 
    2,481,928 
    650.0 
    0.38 
    2000 
    2,641,157 
    698.3 
    0.38 
      Source : Ministry of Tourism Annexure – I-B Tourism - A tremendous opportunity for India (Table C)                            Source:WTTC   (Table D)                                     Source: WTTC   

    Annexure –I-C Percentage Tourists Rating Facilities as 'Average' or 'Poor' (Table E) 

    Source: International Passenger Survey, 1996-97, JPS Associates Annexure –I-D Phenomenal Explosion of Domestic Tourism (Table G)
    Year 
    Domestic 
    1990 
    63 mln 
    1996 
    140 mln 
    1997 
    160 mln 
    1998 
    174 mln 
    1999 
    191 mln 
    2000 
    210 mln 
    Source: Ministry of Tourism     Annexure-1-E Status of the States/UTs on inclusion of
    Tourism in the Concurrent List
      1. States/UTs who have supported the proposal in writing
     
    S.No  State/U.T. 
    Name of the State/U.T. 
    1. 
    STATES 
    Arunachal Pradesh 
    2.  Assam 
    3.  Bihar 
    4.  Chhattisgarh 
    5.  Delhi 
    6.  Goa 
    7.  Guajarat 
    8.    Himachal Pradesh 
    9.  Manipur 
    10.  Meghalaya 
    11.  Mizoram 
    12  Nagaland 
    13  Orissa 
    14  Sikkim 
    15  Tripura 
    16  Uttar pradesh 
    17  Uttranchal 
    18  West Bengal 
    19. 
    Union Territories 
    Andaman and Nicobar 
    20.  Chandigarh 
    21.  Dadar and Nagar Haveli 
    22.  Daman and Diu 
    23.  Lakshadweep 
    24.  Pondichery 
     

    2. States who have opposed the proposal in writing
    S No                                              Name of the State 
    1.  Andhra Pradesh 
    2.  Madhya Pradesh 
    3.  Tamil Nadu 
    4  Kerala 
    5.  Punjab 
    6.  Karnataka 
    7.  Jammu & Kashmir 
     

    3. States who have not sent their confirmation so far.
    S No                                 Name of the State 
    1.  Haryana 
    2.  Jharkhand 
    3.  Maharashtra 
    4.  Rajasthan 
            
     
    THE MODEL
     
    HOTEL ROOMS REQUIRED FOR ADDITONAL 1 MILLION TOURISTS
      Note    
    Bed Nights      
    Additional Tourists   1,000.000  Visitors
    Average length of stay 1 10  Nights
    Bed Nights per annum    10,000.00  Bed Nights
           
    Room Capacity      
    Average annual Occupancy    65%   
    Guests per room  2 1.4   
    Annual bed nights available per room    332   
           
    Additional Rooms Required    30,107   
    Average cost per room 3 0.15  Rs. Crores
           
    Investment required    4,516  Rs. Crores
           
    EMPLOYMENT GENERATED BY THESE HOTEL ROOMS
           
    Director Employment (2 persons per room) 4 60,214  Persons
           
    Indirect employment (3 persons per room)  4 90,321  Persons
           
    Total Employment generated    150,534  Persons
     
     
     
    1 The average length of stay as been assumed at 10 nights. There are no detailed studies that have been conducted in this regard, however based on our experience in this industry sector, average length of stay for Resort locations, like Goa are 12 nights per annum, for the Golden Triangle - 8 nights per annum and for the Southern circuits - 7 nights per annum. Government statistics put the average length of stay at 21 days. However, with the pre-ponderance of business visitors and visitors from neighbouring countries who do not form part of the target market an average length of stay of 10 nights has been assumed.
    2.  The number of guests per room at resort locations, is, as expected, as high as 1.9 persons per room, however for city locations and business visitors, the average s in the region of 1.1 per room. Erring on the side of caution we have made an assumption of 1.4 guests per room.
    3.  The average cost per room has been assumed at Rs.15 lakhs, this takes into account land, construction, fit out and pre-opening expenses. Actual averages range from Rs.70 lakhs for a 5 star deluxe property in Mumbai, to as little as Rs.12 lakhs per room for smaller budget hotels in secondary locations. Since budget hotels are now a primary focus, an average of Rs.15 lakhs per room is considered appropriate.
    4.  In this model we have assumed that direct employment will be provided in the ratio of 2 persons per room and indirect employment to the tourism industry will befurther 3 persons per room. The direct employment ratio is in line with present industry norms within the country. However, based on studies carried out in the past, estimates of indirect employment by the tourism industry range from 3 to 5 persons per room.
       
     
     
    EARNINGS FROM TOURISM & AVIATION FROM ADDITIONAL 1 MILLION VISITORS
      Note    
    Visitors Spending       
    Number of additional visitors    1,000.00  Visitors
    Spend per visit (Presently $ 1,300)  8 1,100  US$
    Import Leakage  9 10%  Proportion
           
    FX Earnings    990  US$ Million
    FX Earnings    4,356  Rs. Crores
           
    Air India Revenue      
    Number of additional visitors  3 500,000  Visitors
    Average Km per pax    16,000  Km per pax
    Average Rate per Km  10 0.10  US$
    Import Leakage  9 45%  Proportion
           
    FX Earnings    440  US$ Millions
    FX Earnings    1,936  Rs. Crores
           
    Ratio of Tourism FX Revenue Vs. Airline FX Revenue    2.25  
     
    Summarised Costs & Benefits    
      Tourism Industry Air India
    Capital Expenditure 4,516 10,535  Rs. Crores
    FX Revenue Net of Imports per annum  4,356 1,936  Rs. Crores
    Ratio of annual net FX Revenue to Capital  0.96  0.18  Ratio
           
    Employment  150,534 6,300  Persons
           
     
     
     
     
    8.  The present expenditure per visitor is in the region of US$ 1,300 per visit. Here again assuming higher volumes, lower expenditures per visit of $ 1,100 have been assumed.
    9.  Import Leakage - In measuring the benefit to the economy, it is necessary to deduct the cost of imports. Based on studies conducted worldwide and taking into account that India is a large relatively developed country and not an island economy like the Maldives, Mauritius or Seychelles, it is estimated that no more than 10% of visitors spending is in relation to imported items. In the case of airlines the proportion of import leakage is considerably higher by way of loan repayments, purchase of spare parts and foreign exchange expenditure that needs to be incurred. Estimates range from 40 to 50% on a worldwide basis we have assumed an import leakage factor of 45%.
    10.  The average rate per passenger kilometer has been assumed at $ 0.10 per passenger kilometer. The fares between Mumbai and some of the major source markets have been compiled and this average comes to 11.28 per passenger kilometer for the lowest excursion fares. The average including business and first class fares (even though smaller volumes) would be higher. However, the passenger kilometer rates compiled which would lower the average considerably. The international norm of 10 per passenger kilometer is therefore appropriate.
       
     
     
    AIRCRAFT REQUIRED FOR ADDITIONAL 1 MILLION TOURISTS
           
    Annual round trips per aircraft       
    Average distance from markets    8,000  km
    Average round trip time    17  Hours
    Annual aircraft utilization    4,500  Hours
    Annual round trips per aircraft    265  Round
           
    Aircraft Carrying Capacity      
    Seats per aircraft  5 400  Seats
    Average load factor  6 65%  Load
    Passengers per aircraft    260  Pax
    Proportion of Foreign Visitors  50%  Proportion
           
    Aircraft Required    29.06   
      Say 29  Aircraft
    Investment per aircraft  752.5  Rs. Crores
           
    Total investment or lease capital value    21,823  Rs. Crores
    Assuming Air India retains just under 50% of Capacity    10,535  Rs. Crores
        14 747's  
           
    EMPLOYMENT GENERATED BY THESE AIRCRAFT
           
    Air India average per aircraft    720  Person 
    World average per aircraft (including outsourcing)    250  Person 
    Average assumed for the purpose of this model    450  Person 
           
    Total Employment generated    6,300  Person 
     
     
     
    5.  We have assumed acquisition by lease or purchase of 747 aircraft with an average seat capacity of approx. 400 passengers. Such aircraft are presently said to be valued in the region of US$ 150 million (Rs.751)
    6.  Average load factors for popular traffic routes range from 75 to 95%, however with a substantial airline capacity, as assumed by this model, it is reasonable to assume that load factors will drop averages which are in the region of 65%.
    7.  At present based on total international traffic handled at all Indian airports, the ratio of foreign visitors with 63% of arrivals and departures being made up of Indian passengers. With this increase in capacity been assumed that this ratio will alter to 50% foreign visitors and 50% Indian travelers for the in capacity. If the present ratio were to be retained the model would lean even more favorably towards the cost of airlines expansion.