The goal of the G8 countries outlined
at the Hokkaido Toyako summit to reduce by half greenhouse gas
emissions by 2050 is a woefully inadequate response to a grave
environmental crisis. The scientific community has been hoping to see
strong action on emissions over the next two decades and its consensus
is stated unequivocally in the Fourth Assessment Report of the
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. The data show that the time
for pious statements is long past. To avoid tipping points that could
produce sudden shifts in climate, the world now expects the major
emitters to engage in concrete action to reduce carbon dioxide
emissions, and to fund mitigation and adaptation actions in vulnerable
countries. Newly emerging economies including India are responsible for
a significant level of current greenhouse gas emissions, but the
primary responsibility for carbon dioxide already in the air, which is
warming the earth, belongs to the legacy polluters. National carbon
emissions travel around the globe in a matter of days, and, as the
Nobel laureate Kenneth Arrow has pointed out, create an externality
that is truly global in scale. If the G8 countries, led by the United
States, are indeed serious about mitigating climate change, they must
deliver on their promises between now and 2012, when the Kyoto Protocol
ends. They need to work with utmost urgency to cut their own emissions
from a meaningful baseline.
India is a member of the group of major economies and its emissions,
although low per capita, are now globally scrutinised. By credible
estimates, the country exceeded absolute annual emissions of Japan,
Germany, and the United Kingdom in 2007. Among the top eight emitting
nations, it had a significantly high coal fraction in total carbon
dioxide. Moreover, automotive emissions are growing steadily. Given the
vulnerability of millions of livelihoods, particularly of the poor, to
climate change, it would be extremely short-sighted of India to
counterpose development and action on reducing GHG emissions. Now that
it is part of the Hokkaido Toyako declaration on energy security and
climate change, business as usual is not an option and energy intensity
of the economy has to be reduced. It is time to kick-start the national
action plan on climate change and set quantitative targets for sectors,
such as coal-based power plants, that need to be cleaned up. With aid
available from the G8 under the UN Nairobi Work Programme on impacts,
vulnerability and adaptation to climate change, a strong governance
structure for adaptation can be set up. But the first priority must be
to assess the national and sector-specific options to reduce emissions,
and to achieve sustainable growth before the successor to the Kyoto
Protocol takes over.
http://www.thehindu.com/2008/07/12/stories/2008071255031000.htm
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