Addressing climate change by working with Nature.
In the recent history of
anthropogenic climate change, there has thus far been a largely inverse
relationship between political power and action taken. Faced with
unthinkable calamity for all life, the international response has been
an unending string of ineffective conferences, a panoply of meek
targets with weak enforcement, a raft of business- and
industry-friendly market mechanisms, and a seemingly eternal wait for
binding international agreements.
Political power is generally more
restricted the higher one goes, so local initiatives commonly prevail
where there is good organisation; the Transition Towns initiative shows
great promise, for example. Most citizens want exciting, innovative
responses at the local level. However, there are some governments that
buck the trend. Although in the UK this may be somewhat hard to grasp,
other countries are not only good at spotting problems and finding
bold, win-win-win solutions – they also have the will to manoeuvre them
through parliament and into law.
Germany in particular has demonstrated such initiative in many areas,
including the most crucial: energy. It has consistently supported
renewable energy and has made excellent gains in increasing the share
of it in the national energy mix, thereby reducing inputs of fossil
fuels and nuclear. It is in fact committed to phasing out nuclear
energy, although this is being hotly debated once more by those with
vested interests. Because Germany’s energy demand has remained fairly
flat, the use of renewables has achieved a net reduction in national
CO2 emissions. It has to be acknowledged that much of the success in
achieving these goals is because of government power-sharing with the
Green Party.
Since 1990, German governments have been developing and fine-tuning
legislation to facilitate the transition. Their Renewable Energy Law of
2000 is probably the most effective and cost-effective law yet devised
to support the deployment of renewable energy. It is a feed-in tariff
(FIT), which obliges utilities to purchase electricity from renewable
energy producers. It costs more to generate electricity from some
sources, so FITs scientifically calculate a tariff for each, thus
ensuring profitability. Finally, the duration is set, usually for 20
years. Thus, between all of these guarantees, investors know exactly
what their return will be, and for how long. This lowers investment
risk, and hence cost.
Germany has set no limit to the amount of renewable energy that can be
fed into the grid, and indeed people say that it is almost a national
sport to see how little energy citizens can take from the utilities.
Needless to say, this has not gone unnoticed by the conventional energy
industry, which has relentlessly attacked the law since first realising
that it could have a significant effect on its market share. The
conventional industry advocates a system similar to the UK’s Renewables
Obligation. This uses a market-based model called a ‘quota’ system,
which sets an amount of generation to be achieved, and producers
receive ‘green certificates’ for their energy, which can be sold for
extra income. Because the future value of the certificates is unknown,
as it is linked to the future market price, the uncertainty created
attracts extra risk pricing in the financing of renewable energy
projects. This extra cost makes it a more expensive, complex system,
which excludes all but the most determined and credit-worthy investors.
The effect is to produce a market dominated by large energy companies,
which excludes independent power producers. Therefore, the
democratisation and true decentralisation of energy is thwarted, an
effect which has still to be grasped by the public.
FITs do more than any other policy to promote cheap building-integrated
renewables, and avoid costly third-party financing arrangements.
Buildings can and should become net energy producers, especially if
designed or retrofitted with energy efficiency in mind. We will soon
have widespread ‘breeder plants’, where renewable-energy-powered
factories produce renewable-energy products. Although this is an
inevitable step, it is exciting to know that people are moving towards
it already.
Today, around forty-five countries, states and provinces are using FITs
to help establish or develop their domestic renewables market, and no
wonder, when the statistics from Germany are so impressive. Despite
various periods of slow economic growth and recession since the
introduction of the first feed-in law at the dawn of the 1990s, Germany
has enjoyed strong, sustained growth in the sector. It now employs
towards a quarter of a million people, compared to a few thousand in
the UK. Its annual turnover is around £14.5 billion, while the
UK’s is around £280 million. Renewable energy in Germany saved 83
million tonnes of CO2 from being emitted in 2005, and in 2007 around
12.5% of electricity consumption comes from renewables.
Germany is now world leader for installed capacity of solar
photovoltaics, and is leading the way in other solar technologies.
Japan, Spain, the USA and now China are also top manufacturers in this
field.
Spain has a very good FIT system also, and is creating a massive
industry of its own. It joined with Germany to create the international
Feed-in Cooperation, which hosts biannual workshops to exchange
information and experience on FITs, including technical, legislative,
administrative, political and other matters. They have now been joined
by Slovenia. In the continued absence of an international renewable
energy agency, such partnerships are a necessity.
With so many good FIT systems emerging, the industry is finally getting
the good run that its benefits warrant, which include environmental
protection, energy security and job creation.
IN ADDITION, OTHER policies and practices are promoting more
sustainable industrial practices, such as ‘industrial symbiosis’
approaches, where the waste materials from one industry become
feedstocks for another. Whole ‘eco-industrial parks’ have been set up
on this basis. This ‘biomimicry’ approach, or copying from Nature’s
behaviour and systems, is one of the most important for us to perfect.
Nature tends to avoid waste, conserve energy and live within its means.
German waste management legislation is also excellent. Before Germany
took serious steps in this field, each urban area had its own landfill
site – totalling around 50,000 across the country. This was cut to
below 2,000 by the millennium, and strict operational regulations were
introduced. The waste hierarchy approach of ‘Reduce, Reuse, Recover’
successfully became the operating concept in this area.
The waste management sector in Germany now employs more than 250,000
people, including engineers, refuse workers and civil servants.
Colleges run waste management courses and there is even special
training for professions in the waste disposal sector. Annual turnover
in the sector now exceeds €50 billion.
Domestic recycling rates in Germany are currently over 50%, while the
UK’s figures are closer to 22%. The UK is still the biggest landfiller
in Europe, with 27 million tonnes annually going into the ground – 7
million more than in any other EU member state. This is despite the
introduction of a landfill tax in 1996. Germany plans to send no more
waste to landfill by 2020. Everything after that date will be recycled,
or incinerated for energy production. Despite common issues around
dioxins produced in incineration, it is highly likely that solutions
will be in place for such issues.
The 1996 Closed Substance Cycle and Waste Management Act is a major
step towards closed-loop recycling and building a ‘circular economy’.
Product responsibility is one of the centrepieces of the act, and is
shown to create the preconditions for waste avoidance. The act promotes
the development of products which are of multiple use, have a long life
and are repair-friendly as well as capable of being recycled and
disposed of in the safest possible way.
Climate protection is well served by this proactive approach to waste
management. Since the early 1990s, annual greenhouse-gas emissions from
waste management have been reduced by 30 million tonnes of CO2
equivalent.
Air pollution is addressed in Germany through several measures. Clean
and alternative fuels have been promoted successfully and ground-level
ozone has been targeted through reducing the precursor substances that
cause it. There is also a strong law governing emissions from power
plants and factories.
However, there are some things the Germans do not do so well – yet. The
German car industry is leading the fight against improved emission
standards in the EU, and there is still no speed limit on all German
motorways. When the US imposed the 55mph speed limit in 1974, savings
of 255,000 barrels of oil per day were made.
Berlin is to introduce a system which allows only vehicles of a low
emission class to enter the area of the city surrounded by the subway,
and around a dozen more cities are expected to join the scheme. This
entry limitation will move up a class in a few years, becoming more
stringent and taking more cars off the roads, and/or forcing car
manufacturers to rethink their opposition to improved emission
standards. If they want to sell a wide range of commuter vehicles for
use in the major cities, they will have to improve their standards.
This simple mechanism gets around the political impasse created when
industry attempts to block innovation.
On energy-efficiency measures, the German goal is that by 2020 each
unit of gross domestic product (GDP) will require half the energy that
it consumed in 1990. The new national plan covers every sector,
including transport, housing and industry, and addresses both demand
and supply sides.
The German way has been to innovate in policy: to take leadership. The
results are clear in terms of the country’s economic development path
and the level of public awareness and support. But this path is still
based on the same economic growth imperatives as everyone else’s. The
environment minister, Sigmar Gabriel, is clear in his message that
environmental protection will not impinge upon the ‘aspirations’ of
citizens. The drive is still towards the consumerist model; growth of
GDP is critical.
Innovative policy and technological solutions can only carry us so far,
yet wholesale systemic change is not an option favoured by Germany or
any other country. We need to address the full range of climate change
factors at all levels. The process of taking this vital responsibility
presents an opportunity to make the transition to a safe, just,
sustainable world. Doing things irresponsibly and unsustainably is
simply not an option for life on Earth.
Miguel Mendonça is a
researcher, writer and campaigner for the World Future Council. He is
the author of Feed-in Tariffs: Accelerating the Deployment of Renewable
Energy.
http://www.resurgence.org/2007/mendonca245.htm